It's Saturday and everything is leading up to LSU-Bama. This is actually a pretty dry week for games, with both nothing big in terms of match-ups and nothing glaring in terms of catching my eye as a huge mis-pricing in the spread. That said, Big Dobs always has a couple of winners up his sleeve.
Cincinnati +3 @ South Florida - South florida has followed form this season, big upset early on (Notre Dame), everyone thinks they're better than they are which leads to an inflated ranking (16), then they play a decent opponent on the road and get crushed, Pitt. In this game the inflation is still there, though considerably smaller, as they play a better than decent opponent at home. This game is watchable with two very good QBs, and on paper I'd say Cin has a slight advantage so I'll take them and the points. Per my rule of underdogs on the road, I do think the Bearcats have a chance to win. Cincinnati 27 South Florida 24. Confidence - 3 out of 5 Vail penthouses.
Virginia Tech -21 vs Boston College - Tech has been pretty underwhelming up until last weeks blowout win @ Wake. 21 is a lot of points for a team that only beat ECU by 7 and Arkansas St by 19, but I have to think that they put it all together one of these weeks and blow out a doormat, Big Dobs sees that happening this week. Everyone on BC either sucks or is hurt, or is both hurt and sucks, not a great combo when you're going to Blacksburg. Virginia Tech 42 Boston College 10. Confidence - 3 our of 5 life size Han Solo wax statues.
Wisconsin -7 @ Michigan State - Tough game, Wisconsin has obviously crushed everyone and Michigan St really only looked bad @ Notre Dame. In the end I think the Wisconsin offense is better than the ND offense, and I don't see the MSU O being able to keep up. 7 points isn't a ton, it basically means you have to go with the team that you think will win, and that's Wisconsin. Wisconsin 31 Michgan State 21. Confidence - 3 out of 5 weekends at Sir Richard Branson's private island.
No comments:
Post a Comment