NCAA week 5

Big Dobs is off to another solid start breaking it open last week with a 5-2 showing. This week Big Dobs bets against two big name schools having off years, with 2 military academies and with the best team in the nation, LSU.

Iowa +4 @ Penn St - Penn State is awful, seriously, they suck. This might look like a Penn St no-brainer with the bigger name team at home, but Iowa has a far better offense and a decent enough defense to not only keep this game very close, but also potentially win. Big Dobs doesn't like to take dogs unless I think they have a shot to win outright, and Iowa has a great chance at winning this game. I think this is one of those years in Happy Valley where the ending is in sight for JoePa (pun intended) Iowa 24 Penn State 13. Confidence 3 out of 5 seafood towers.

Army -2.5 @ Miami (OH) - Big Dobs paid the points last week with Cin at home against Miami (OH) and it paid off big time. Miami couldn't even score a point on a very mediocre Bearcats D, which is more pathetic than Uncle Jesse living in Danny Tanner's attic with his wife and two kids. This is a really really really shitty team and Army isn't half bad. I don't see Miami stopping the Army running game, and I don't see Miami keeping it close enough to have a shot to win in the end. This is a game that Army knows it needs to win to keep in the bowl hunt, and I'll take the Army any time when it's a question of motivation. Army 31 Miami 10. Confidence 4 out 5 Malibu beachfront homes.

Air Force +16 @ Notre Dame - This is a situation where Big Dobs doesn't see Air Force winning, but over 2 TDs is way too much. Air Force is a solid team and Big Dobs rarely bets against the academies. Notre Dame has been incredibly inconsistent this year, and although far more talented, it has a good chance at turning the ball over and playing down to the level of competition. How is this spread bigger than the one last week against Purdue? Notre Dame 24 Air Force 21. Confidence 3 out of 5 rolls of Hermes toilet paper.

Nebraska -11 vs Ohio State - Like Penn State, Ohio State is complete garbage and totally overrated. Nebraska was clowned last week by Wisconsin, welcome to the Big Ten, and will want to use this Ohio St game to show that it belongs. Look for a highly motivated Nebraska team to put its foot on the gas and not let up. I don't see how Ohio State scores. Nebraska 34 Ohio State 17. Confidence 3 out of 5 gold bars.

Texas +9.5 vs Oklahoma - The Red River Shootout has been decided by a touchdown or less in each of the last 4 years, even last year when TX couldn't even beat UCLA nor make a bowl game. This is a solid TX team, and although a much more talented OK team, it is overrated. I think TX has a legit shot of winning, this could be just like the '08 game. 9.5 is just too much in game that is always this tight. Oklahoma 31 Texas 28. Confidence 3 out of 5 50 acre hunting ranches.

LSU -14 vs Florida - LSU is battling Bama week in and week out for the number 1 ranking in the polls, and since neither team will lose margin of victory matters. LSU definitely saw what Bama did to Florida on the road last week so it will need to pull out everything to have just as good of a showing at home. Look for LSU to attack the gators non stop and try to earn a blowout victory. 2 TDs is a lot against a solid Florida team, but LSU is motivated to win by more than that. LSU 38 Florida 13. Confidence 3 out of 5 weekend getaways to Paris.