Big Dobs suffered last week. What did Bog Dobs do on Sunday morning? He spent 2 hours with his shirt off staring in the mirror giving an occasional pec flex, but mostly thinking about where he went wrong. What did Big Dobs change to take an 11-7 season to 12-12 in one week? Overconfidence, lack of discipline, lack of proper research? Perhaps it was a little of all three, but now Big Dobs comes back humbled, ready to prove to his two loyal readers that he is indeed the Luke Skywalker of College Football.
And now, for the picks...
Bet of the Week - Oklahoma State -7 @ Texas
Texas is a classic example of a preseason unranked team, based on talent and experience, going undefeated against inferior competition until they are really tested, last week's game against Oklahoma, and we all know what happened there. Big Dobs got caught with his pants down and it isn't going to happen again. Oklahoma State saw what rival Oklahoma did to the Longhorns last week and they will want to replicate that ass beating. Look for State to step on the gas and not let up, this could get ugly fast and the spread doesn't indicate that. Oklahoma State 45 Texas 17. Confidence 5 out of 5 XL Health deals (though actually getting paid for it).
Auburn +2 vs Florida
See Texas logic above, I think this pertains to both of these teams, though of course this is relative to the SEC so they are still better than most across the nation. Both teams are coming off big losses, Florida two in a row. There are two elements that stand out to Big Dobs, Auburn is good at home and Florida is young and hurt. Last week I got crushed on Air Force vs Notre Dame because I went against a simple rule, don't take dogs in college football unless you think they can win outright, especially on the road. Well, Auburn is at home and think they win outright. Auburn 31 Florida 28. Confidence 4 out of 5 courtside Knicks seats (in a non-lockout season).
BYU +3 @ Oregon State
BYU, a dog on the road, BUT I think they win outright. The line says these are two evenly matched teams but I'll have o disagree with that. Yes, OSU is playing better, but this is still a team that lost to Sacramento State at home (I didn't know that was a real school, seriously) and is only getting love because they beat Arizona at home last week for their first win of the season. Maybe Oregon St has turned it around, but I doubt it. BYU is a solid program, yes they turned the ball over a ton against an average Utah team and got crushed, but they have a very solid win against UCF. BYU also showed it can play on the road winning at Ole Miss and playing Texas tough in Austin, BYU should have won that game. At the end of the day BYU is the better program and the better team. BYU 27 Oregon St 21. Confidence 3 out of 5 Rolex Presidentials.
LSU -17 @ Tennessee, Wisconsin -39.5 vs Indiana, Georgia -11 @ Vandy
I lumped these games together because they are all the same. LSU and Bama are competing against each other to see who can win by more each week, so LSU ain't letting up on Tennessee team QB's by the 2nd best current Don Bosco QB, Matt Simms. Georgia feels like an underdog and Vandy has been half decent only because of an amazing +/-, look for that to normalize and Georgia to play with a chip on it;s shoulder, they win in a blowout. Finally, this is the biggest spread I have ever taken, I'm basically saying Wisconsin is going to drop 80 on Indiana, well they probably will. This reminds me of when I was going into my Sr year of college, a TE for the Colby College White Mules. I went to visit a buddy in Madison and I consistently got the question from people what would happen if Colby played Wisconsin. Both teams had studs from NJ, Colby had Big Dobs and Wisconsin had Ron Dayne. My response was always the same, we'd lose in Madison, but if Wisconsin came to the Mule Dome we'd probably win. People actually argued me on this but the fact of the matter was Wisconsin could have won by whatever they wanted to, they literally could have scored on every play and everyone on Colby would have either died or just been seriously injured. This game is exactly like that, seriously, exactly like that.
LSU 38 Tenn 14
Georgia 27 Vandy 3
Wisconsin 87 Indiana 7
Confidence 4 out of 5 Audi A7s
And just because I've been asked. I like Michigan State but don't have any confidence, so it's not an official Big Dobs pick.
Best of luck to my platinum club members on Saturday's 6 pack, let's have a safe and enjoyable Holiday Weekend.
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